Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 9.100225e-01 1.145518 1.407375 1.717170 2.070718 2.458809 2.914178
2025-06-01 6.166730e-01 0.926372 1.309770 1.805798 2.417264 3.133838 4.024305
2025-06-08 3.981005e-01 0.724997 1.176886 1.812834 2.651466 3.688606 5.036646
2025-06-15 2.867283e-01 0.627509 1.147724 1.932697 3.023646 4.427769 6.312229
2025-06-22 1.995238e-01 0.533059 1.096512 2.004812 3.328123 5.091041 7.521419
2025-06-29 1.330766e-01 0.444835 1.030615 2.037727 3.570577 5.676604 8.648758
2025-07-06 7.954719e-02 0.352180 0.931490 1.998469 3.696297 6.100831 9.571370
2025-07-13 5.017663e-02 0.295885 0.881265 2.025256 3.913378 6.652841 10.676723
2025-07-20 3.005587e-02 0.247569 0.832139 2.042825 4.110819 7.178370 11.755746
2025-07-27 1.465231e-02 0.194072 0.754235 1.994420 4.194400 7.536072 12.605989
2025-08-03 6.114925e-03 0.151207 0.684938 1.948565 4.273021 7.882990 13.444227
2025-08-10 2.415647e-03 0.124055 0.645401 1.953117 4.432000 8.351418 14.463160
2025-08-17 4.389840e-04 0.093184 0.582321 1.901539 4.494297 8.681135 15.302501
2025-08-24 1.048700e-04 0.084290 0.585908 1.994207 4.816038 9.423442 16.763287
2025-08-31 2.671545e-07 0.067588 0.553449 2.000527 4.981168 9.924056 17.878713
2025-09-07 NaN 0.064374 0.572152 2.128016 5.374351 10.796564 19.563239
2025-09-14 NaN 0.057065 0.570066 2.204669 5.675341 11.528143 21.049681
2025-09-21 NaN 0.047578 0.552278 2.239607 5.897921 12.137547 22.362306
2025-09-28 NaN 0.034873 0.507299 2.197622 5.968657 12.499411 23.305149
2025-10-05 NaN 0.028330 0.490341 2.226156 6.176615 13.090105 24.604522
2025-10-12 NaN 0.022447 0.471114 2.244874 6.364198 13.649256 25.862091
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015165 0.429806 2.193212 6.405206 13.961811 26.742611
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009826 0.392179 2.144255 6.446728 14.273659 27.624595